Ukraine "Could" Have Won the War in 2022.

Taking what the Ukrainians did and extending it

Hello All,

Back for part 2 of this speculative post on what Ukraine could have done in 2022 if they were armed and freed to attack Russia in the way that they are (still tentatively) being armed and freed now. Its clear that this is a could piece and not a would piece. I’m not trying to write a counterfactual history—which by the way I have problems with.

I’m simply trying to say that if Ukraine had the capabilities it has now, and employed them the way that they used more limited systems in 2022, that they would have given themselves a chance to cause a significant rupture in Russian forces. Would they have done so? No one knows. Could they have done so—looking at the evidence, I would say yes.

Its an argument based on the state of the Russian military, the state of the Ukrainian military and the way it was fighting, and the restrictions that were keeping the latter from attacking the former.