The Assassination Attempt Will Probably Not Make Trump More Likely to Be Elected

Dont Jump to Conclusions

Lots of discussions today about how this assassination attempt might help Trump get elected in November—just sending this short piece of analysis to my subscribers to say that there is little evidence of this historically and in present polling. Moreover there is still a great deal to learn about this, and the details will help shape the reactions. So probably best not to jump to conclusions. These are the reasons why.