Election Update #3: The Good News and the Bad News

Hello All,

Election Update #3 is here. We have now had almost a week after the DNC convention, and can start seeing some trends on whether Kamala Harris will have a “bounce” or not. The evidence is somewhat all over the place, so I thought I would start this update not with an answer, but with a good news/bad news breakdown of the evidence (from the point of view of the Harris campaign).

The Good News:

The Good News is now pretty obvious. Its been a month since President Biden dropped out of the race. In that time Harris took over the mantle of presumptive nominee, started building a rapport with the public, chose a helpful VP running mate in Tim Walz, oversaw a successful DNC convention, and delivered a solid acceptance speech. That is no mean feat.

Harris and Walz taking part in a Bus Tour across Georgia this week.